Risk scales
TorinoT0
Palermo-6.70
Source: JPL Sentry
JPL window: 2122-2122·ESA years: 2122-2126·Last obs: 2026-11-07
Close approach
Miss distance sketch — not a real orbit plot.
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JPL CAD
0.010660 au · 4.15 LD
2026-Nov-08 13:28 · 13.59 km/s
ESA NEOCC
0.010656 au · 4.15 LD
2026-11-08 · 13.60 km/s
JPL uncertainty (dist_min–max)
0.010619 – 0.010700 au
Sources
Amber = past cut. Risk 2 · fields 2.
3/3 sources · match
| Field | JPL CADNASA/JPL | JPL SentryNASA/JPL | ESA NEOCCESA Aegis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Close-approach datethreshold: date | 2026-Nov-08 13:28 | — | 2026-11-08 |
| Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel | 0.010660 | — | 0.010656 |
| Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s) | 13.59 | — | 13.60 |
| Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational) | — | 2122-2122 | 2122-2126 |
| Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7) | — | 1.573e-6 | 5.200e-6 |
| Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5 | — | -6.70 | -6.18 |
| Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact | — | T0 | — |
| Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude | — | 19 m | 19 m * |
Detected · 2 fields · 2 risk
- cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=0.000001573 · esa-neocc=0.0000052Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2122-2122 vs ESA 2122-2126. Cumulative threshold still applies.
- palermoScaleCumulative [risk · |Δ| > 0.5] · jpl-sentry=-6.7 · esa-neocc=-6.18Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2122-2122 vs ESA 2122-2126. Cumulative threshold still applies.