Risk scales
TorinoT0
Palermo-7.11
Source: JPL Sentry
JPL window: 2046-2091·ESA years: 2049-2058·Last obs: 2026-09-17
Close approach
Miss distance sketch — not a real orbit plot.
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JPL CAD
0.002992 au · 1.16 LD
2026-Sep-20 20:52 · 8.69 km/s
ESA NEOCC
0.002995 au · 1.17 LD
2026-09-20 · 8.70 km/s
JPL uncertainty (dist_min–max)
0.002981 – 0.003003 au
Sources
Amber = past cut. Risk 1 · fields 1.
3/3 sources · match
| Field | JPL CADNASA/JPL | JPL SentryNASA/JPL | ESA NEOCCESA Aegis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Close-approach datethreshold: date | 2026-Sep-20 20:52 | — | 2026-09-20 |
| Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel | 0.002992 | — | 0.002995 |
| Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s) | 8.69 | — | 8.70 |
| Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational) | — | 2046-2091 | 2049-2058 |
| Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7) | — | 2.349e-6 | 5.600e-6 |
| Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5 | — | -7.11 | -6.71 |
| Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact | — | T0 | T0 |
| Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude | — | 7 m | 7 m * |
Detected · 1 fields · 1 risk
- cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=0.000002348761 · esa-neocc=0.0000056Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2046-2091 vs ESA 2049-2058. Cumulative threshold still applies.