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BEACON

Object

2021 TH15

2021TH15 · 2/3 sources · cross-match · 2 risk div.

Risk scales

TorinoT0
Palermo-11.30

Source: JPL Sentry

JPL window: 2069-2069·ESA years: 2123-2123·Last obs: 2021-10-15

Sources

Amber = past cut. Risk 2 · fields 2.

2/3 sources · match
FieldJPL CADnot presentJPL SentryNASA/JPLESA NEOCCESA Aegis
Close-approach datethreshold: date———
Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel———
Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s)———
Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational)—2069-20692123-2123
Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7)—2.953e-103.160e-7
Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5—-11.30-8.57
Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact—T0T0
Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude—6 m6 m *

Detected · 2 fields · 2 risk

  • cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=2.953e-10 · esa-neocc=3.16e-7Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2069-2069 vs ESA 2123-2123. Cumulative threshold still applies.
  • palermoScaleCumulative [risk · |Δ| > 0.5] · jpl-sentry=-11.3 · esa-neocc=-8.57Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2069-2069 vs ESA 2123-2123. Cumulative threshold still applies.