Risk scales
TorinoT0
Palermo-7.48
Source: JPL Sentry
JPL window: 2078-2121·ESA years: 2102-2120·Last obs: 2021-10-17
Close approach
Miss distance sketch — not a real orbit plot.
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JPL CAD
0.033199 au · 12.92 LD
2027-Apr-16 06:39 · 12.26 km/s
ESA NEOCC
0.033682 au · 13.11 LD
2027-04-16 · 12.30 km/s
JPL uncertainty (dist_min–max)
0.017510 – 0.048924 au
Sources
Amber = past cut. Risk 2 · fields 2.
3/3 sources · match
| Field | JPL CADNASA/JPL | JPL SentryNASA/JPL | ESA NEOCCESA Aegis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Close-approach datethreshold: date | 2027-Apr-16 06:39 | — | 2027-04-16 |
| Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel | 0.033199 | — | 0.033682 |
| Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s) | 12.26 | — | 12.30 |
| Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational) | — | 2078-2121 | 2102-2120 |
| Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7) | — | 1.699e-6 | 4.710e-7 |
| Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5 | — | -7.48 | -8.12 |
| Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact | — | T0 | T0 |
| Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude | — | 8 m | 9 m * |
Detected · 2 fields · 2 risk
- cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=0.00000169894 · esa-neocc=4.71e-7Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2078-2121 vs ESA 2102-2120. Cumulative threshold still applies.
- palermoScaleCumulative [risk · |Δ| > 0.5] · jpl-sentry=-7.48 · esa-neocc=-8.12Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2078-2121 vs ESA 2102-2120. Cumulative threshold still applies.