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BEACON

Object

2021 SU1

2021SU1 · 2/3 sources · cross-match · 2 risk div.

Risk scales

TorinoT0
Palermo-4.48

Source: JPL Sentry

JPL window: 2054-2120·ESA years: 2054-2126·Last obs: 2021-12-01

Sources

Amber = past cut. Risk 2 · fields 2.

2/3 sources · match
FieldJPL CADnot presentJPL SentryNASA/JPLESA NEOCCESA Aegis
Close-approach datethreshold: date———
Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel———
Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s)———
Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational)—2054-21202054-2126
Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7)—2.035e-47.420e-5
Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5—-4.48-5.12
Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact—T0T0
Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude—17 m18 m *

Detected · 2 fields · 2 risk

  • cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=0.000203459308 · esa-neocc=0.0000742Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2054-2120 vs ESA 2054-2126. Cumulative threshold still applies.
  • palermoScaleCumulative [risk · |Δ| > 0.5] · jpl-sentry=-4.48 · esa-neocc=-5.12Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2054-2120 vs ESA 2054-2126. Cumulative threshold still applies.