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BEACON

Object

2021 BR2

2021BR2 · 2/3 sources · cross-match · 2 risk div.

Risk scales

TorinoT0
Palermo-9.53

Source: JPL Sentry

JPL window: 2103-2122·ESA years: 2108-2113·Last obs: 2021-01-20

Sources

Amber = past cut. Risk 2 · fields 2.

2/3 sources · match
FieldJPL CADnot presentJPL SentryNASA/JPLESA NEOCCESA Aegis
Close-approach datethreshold: date———
Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel———
Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s)———
Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational)—2103-21222108-2113
Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7)—4.275e-78.420e-8
Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5—-9.53-10.08
Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact—T0T0
Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude—2 m2.7 m *

Detected · 2 fields · 2 risk

  • cumulativeImpactProbability [risk · >2× (floor 1e-7)] · jpl-sentry=4.2747e-7 · esa-neocc=8.42e-8Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2103-2122 vs ESA 2108-2113. Cumulative threshold still applies.
  • palermoScaleCumulative [risk · |Δ| > 0.5] · jpl-sentry=-9.53 · esa-neocc=-10.08Aggregation windows differ (informational): JPL 2103-2122 vs ESA 2108-2113. Cumulative threshold still applies.