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BEACON

Object

2014 JU15

2014JU15 · 3/3 sources · cross-match · 2 orbital div.

Risk scales

TorinoT0
Palermo-4.27

Source: JPL Sentry

JPL window: 2071-2121·ESA years: 2073-2121·Last obs: 2014-06-03

Close approach

Miss distance sketch — not a real orbit plot.

JPL ≠ ESA

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JPL CAD
0.028870 au · 11.24 LD
2027-May-02 15:59 · 9.70 km/s
ESA NEOCC
0.031123 au · 12.11 LD
2027-05-03 · 9.70 km/s
JPL uncertainty (dist_min–max)
0.004723 – 0.055411 au

Sources

Amber = past cut. Risk 0 · fields 2.

3/3 sources · match
FieldJPL CADNASA/JPLJPL SentryNASA/JPLESA NEOCCESA Aegis
Close-approach datethreshold: date2027-May-02 15:59—2027-05-03
Miss distanceauthreshold: 3% rel0.028870—0.031123
Relative velocitykm/sthreshold: 1% rel (ESA 0.1 km/s)9.70—9.70
Risk yearsaggregation windows differ (informational)—2071-21212073-2121
Cumulative impact probabilitythreshold: >2× (floor 1e-7)—5.441e-54.920e-5
Palermo Scalecumulativethreshold: |Δ| > 0.5—-4.27-4.31
Torino Scalemaxthreshold: exact—T0T0
Estimated diameter* from absolute magnitude—39 m40 m *

Detected · 2 fields

  • closeApproachDate [orbital · date] · jpl-cad=2027-May-02 15:59 · esa-neocc=2027-05-03
  • missDistanceAu [orbital · 3% rel] · jpl-cad=0.0288700483970484 · esa-neocc=0.031123